Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts

25 September 2010

人文科系的好玩之处

中学时,个人认为,我花了很多时间,去背一大堆我并不是很感兴趣的宗教。世界各地的历史与文化,政治学的各类主义,生活美学,却甚少读到。

与友人谈及明年的人文科-政治学时,发现外国所给予的题目,与本地的历史题目,实在是相差太远了。

譬如:“请比较一下美国与法国的革命,并写出它们之间的相似与不同之处,再分析一下到底这两个革命是被什么主义所影响,继而写出它们的利与弊。”

第一个反应,竟然是反应不过来。咋舌之余,还冒了一脸冷汗。

当中的多元思考,也不必多说。

创意,很多时候,是不经意被发现的,而不是刻意去想它的。

就好像这个夏季,就在没有精心安排下,去看了很多不是我正修读的科系的东西。

看着某部港剧,了解到原来鉴识科学 (Forensic Science)里有一个很有趣的定律-罗卡定律(Locard's Theory)。

这就是名句 “凡走过,必留下痕迹”的最佳写照。这项定律,也被广泛地用在犯罪研究学(Crime Investigation)里。

也触摸到经济学里一个蛮特别的理论。 博弈论-Game Theory。这说明了人类所作的决定,会因别人的决定而受影响。这理论,有个很有趣的案例-囚犯的困惑 (Prisoner's Dilemma)。此外,还被引用于很多领域如数学,生物,甚至是政治学。

政治学里的"零和游戏" ( zero-sum game), 也从这里引申出来。即,两个正大战的人物,只有一个会生存的道理。

文学范围呢,我们也可看看台湾作家的文章,当中也不乏很多具批判性的。陶杰、龙应台、李敖等写的东西,都可以让我们看见一些平时所忽略的盲点。还有一位旅美作家,欧阳文风,也写得蛮不错;若有时间的话,看一看梁文道先生所写的东西,相信也会有另一番体验。

修读太多关于科技的东西,有时候,会忘记人文科系所能够看到的不一样。

若不了解人文与社会现象,的确会让修读科技的我们,陷入牛角尖里。角度的差异,有时会激发具有前瞻性的构思。



















14 September 2010

雅虎(Yahoo) 去了哪里?- Where is Yahoo?

从《星洲财经》里读到一句话,觉得非常残酷,但很真实。

“比被人议论纷纷更为糟糕的是,已经没人再讨论。”

这,就是今时今日,雅虎的下场。不论是IT业界的精英,还是菜市场的阿婶,都大谈Apple, i产品了。

电话巨擘,诺基亚(Nokia)也于近日,换上了其CEO,改由加拿大人,Stephen Elop 领导该企业。这举动,并不是当Nokia面临破产时才做的决定。这是,当Nokia 依然是世界最大电话制造商时,所做的决定。

根据Gartner的资料显示,2010年第二季的销售百分比来看,Nokia的Symbian OS 以41%引领整个智能电话市场,而市场占有率较大的分别有RIM(18%),Android(17%),Apple(14%)。而RIM则是制造著名Blackberry的商家。

这是电话市场的竞争。

看看浏览界面(web browser)的竞争又如何。

随着Google Chrome 7.0 的冒现,已经把Mozilla Firefox,Internet Explorer , Safari, 和 Opera等比下去了。而犹记得当年叱咤风云的Netscape Navigator,现在也少有听闻了。8个小时前,Microsoft已宣布要研发出IE9,以给予用户全新的浏览体验。

而在电脑晶片(processor)的竞争里,当Intel于1971年研发出世界第一枚(Intel 4004)后,各公司也竞相发展出越来越快的晶片,如IBM,AMD,Hewlett-Packard(HP)等。现在,世界运算最快的超级电脑(supercomputer)是由CrayJaguar制造。

况且,最近也有消息指出,随着云端计算(cloud computing)的普遍性越来越高,Microsoft 也不得不想尽办法,以对抗用户日益增多的Google docs.

何谓cloud computing? 这里有个由MIT 教授 Prof. Srini Davadas 给于的例子。

“在未来10年里,若有一天,你在亚玛逊森林里被不知名的昆虫咬伤,你只要用相机拍下来然后放上某个医药联系库,马上会得到世界各地的专业医生协助,在30秒内,让你得到最有可能的医疗方法。”

随着科技的发展,世界经济版图也会随着移动。一个国家的GDP,也无可否认地,被科技所带领。更甚的是,随着最近印尼和阿拉伯一些国家对于blackberry电话的表态,可看出,科技的发展,也将影响一个国家的政治走向。

发展,带来惊喜;也带来恐惧。




23 January 2010

Realization of a Frog

It has been a long time since I attended a talk, be it an inspirational speech or a general world issues discussion.

That day after my lectures, I went to attend this talk by the excutive editor of The Economist, Daniel Franklin in Imperial.

Pretty much a general talk, discussing about the world in 2010. He gave his opinions on the events which are going to happen in 2010.

In chronological order, here goes some of the significant events.

Jan 2010- Post- Copenhagen period. A conference which aims to review the Kyoto Protocol which is going to expire in the year 2012. But, it did not yield any encouraging results.

April 2010- Run-up to Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty review conference. Obama Nuclear-free-world speech in Prague. Iran and N.Korea are the two countries in discussion.

May 2010- British General Election. David Cameron (Conservatives) vs Gordon Brown (Labour).

May 2010- Start of Shanghai Expo. Rivalry between Shanghai and Beijing emerges, as Beijing was the host for 2008 Olympics Game.

June 2010- World Cup in South Africa. First time being held in the African continent. The significance are (demographic dividend, investment from China/India, etc).

August 2010- Combat troops of US will retreat from Iraq by this month.

September 2010- UN General Assembly. A new form of global governance and interactions. G8, G20 etc. As US and China are gradually appearing as the world most influential nations, it's time to hold a G2 meeting.

October 2010- Brazil election. It's now important because it's one of the member in BRIC (Brazil, Russia India and China). However, Russia current economy seems to be dwindling down.

November 2010- Asia Games in Guangzhou.
- APEC Summit in Yokohoma.
- US Mid-term election. Time to review Obama's performances and popularity.


In general, the world in 2010 is full of tribulations. Basically, China is the main attention of the year, especially for the people in business field.


Well, after listening to his talk, although I felt so tired (even slept while he was delivering his speech), I was glad to be there that night.

I couldnt believe that after three-four months in Imperial, my life has changed tremendously. I used to read at least one or two newspapers and comment on some of the issues back then. But now, I buried my nose into the books and literally got out of touch from the world.

Here, current issues do not really matter, I guess? I remembered that I used to discuss and debate with a friend about political matters, and from vowing to change the situations, to losing the momentum to do so. How pathetic!

As the Malay proverb goes, "katak di bawah tempurung". Well, I guess the books are the tempurung for me now.


Daniel Franklin and me.

11 August 2009

Malaysian Student Leaders Summit 2009



It's the 3rd year for this event. Yet, frankly speaking, it faired worse than last year.

Firstly, the speakers list in the website is quite deceiving. Most of the speakers, I mean the big shots were not even present.

Secondly, it's so pathetic to substitute an 'impromptu' youth forum and four different students from various universities Majlis Perwakilan Pelajar (MPP) just had to discuss some topics to pass time. (Yet, they even stopped an Egyptian to share his thoughts. Yea, it's abit unfair for using most of the time, but since this event attracts foreign students, we should let him to share his experience in his country or similar events, so that we can benefit from that.) =.=

Thirdly, most of the stduents (of course, this includes me as well) were out there to chat and know new friends, rather than staying inside the cold, boring hall for the last lecture on Article 153 of the Constitution. They even cancelled the group presentation.

The only good things were the discussions amongs group members, the food of Hotel Nikko and some unexpected networkings. lol.

I had the opportunity to snap a picture with Tan Sri Koh Tsu Koon, and met with a alumnus of Yale University, of course there were some seniors from Imperial, new friends from Warwick, UCL, Cambridge, UPenn, Uni College Dublin and a cute girl who is heading to Sydney.

So in short, the good things outweigh the bad ones. I will give a rating of 6.5/10.

End notes: When a friend asked me last year, would you go for this year MSLS, I would say, let's just see how's the speakers list featured. And, for next year, I would say, let's just dont visit the webpage, and sign up according to your intuition. The list is not convincing enough. =)


2nd from the left: Hanna Yeoh, 3rd from the left: Angkasawan


Dr. Mahathir


Koh Tsu Koon and me

18 February 2009

Rule of 72

Today, I read up some economics, poetry and political science books. After a few paragraphs, I can hardly swallow the contents. Liberal arts subjects are far more tougher than I have ever thought.

I came across this knowledge when I study inflation. In fact, it involves many statistical and probability methods to calculate, evaluate and predict the rate of inflation.( OMG...havent reach that far..XD)


Rule of 72: A rule which is used to divide 72 by the percentage of the current inflation, to find out the duration (year) for a material to take to double it's current price.

eg: Percentage of inflation: 10%
If the price of a box of pencils is RM100 at 1990, the time it uses to reach RM200 is :

72/10=7.2 approx. 7 years

Therefore, at 1997, the price for a box of pencils is RM200.

29 September 2008

Top 10 Forbes Billionaires of the Year 2008

No.1
Warren Buffett
Origins: USA
Age: 77
Wealth: USD620 billion

No.2
Carlos Slim Helu
Origins: Mexico
Age: 68
Wealth: USD600 billion

No.3
Bill Gates
Origins: USA
Age: 52
Wealth: USD580 billion

No.4
Lakshmi Mittal
Origins: India
Age: 57
Wealth: USD450 billion

No.5
Mukesh Ambani
Origins: India
Age: 50
Wealth: USD430 billion

No.6
Anil Ambani
Origins: India
Age: 48
Wealth: USD420 billion

No.7
Ingvar Kamprad
Origins: Sweden
Age: 81
Wealth: USD310 billion

No.8
KP Singh
Origins: India
Age: 76
Wealth: USD360 billion

No.9
Oleg Deripaska
Origins: Russia
Age: 40
Wealth: USD280 billion

No.10
Karl Albrecht
Origins: Germany
Age: 88
Wealth: USD270 billion